Response to Economist article

Below is my response to The Economist’s February 20 article, “How America deals with Africa, despite Donald Trump.”


Your report on the Trump Administration's policy toward Africa (February 20) missed the main point. Trump came into office determined to reverse everything that Obama had done. But, he has left intact, and has fully funded, Obama's two very creative projects in Africa: "Power Africa" and "Feed the Future". The former has already increased power generation in Africa by 30 thousand megawatts, and the latter has increased food crops considerably in Nigeria. In addition, Trump sent Nikki Haley, his first Ambassador to the UN, to the Democratic Republic of the Congo in 2018 to persuade former President Kabila to stop delaying the election, and to promise not to run himself. This has opened the door in the DRC to democracy for the first time in its history. Also, of course, the Bush (43) program to control and reduce the prevalence of HIV/AIDS, and the Clinton AGOA program, to encourage African exports to the U.S. also have Trump's continuing support. Trump's own new project to encourage U.S. private investment, "Prosper Africa", has been slow to get started. But Secretary of State Pompeo brought two major U.S. corporations to Senegal recently where they signed two investment memoranda of understanding. Finally, Trump's offer to mediate between Egypt and Ethiopia over the latter's construction of a major dam that threatens to reduce the volume of Blue Nile water going to Egypt, and its one hundred million people, is an important effort to avoid a shooting war between these two major African powers. Despite Trump's initial nasty depiction of African countries two years ago, his actual policy is really quite constructive.

Book Talk at the Department of State

Thank you to the Ralph J. Bunche Library of the U.S. Department of State for hosting a discussion of my new book. It was an honor to be in the place that taught me how to be a diplomat to share my thoughts on the last 80 years of US-Africa relations.

Lessons From the Past on Cameroon’s Crisis

Lessons From the Past on Cameroon’s Crisis

For John Campbell’s “Africa in Transition” blog on the Council on Foreign Relations website, I authored a piece on how lessons from the Eritrean War of Independence offer clues to a potential endgame to Cameroon’s conflict. It is reproduced below.

The violent conflict in Cameroon, still rarely discussed in Washington, is becoming increasingly dire. Both President Paul Biya’s Francophone regime in Yaounde and the Anglophone separatists in the southwest region are accused of brutal human rights abuses, including the burning of villages, attacks on schools, and the killing of men, women, and children. Despite mediation attempts by the Swiss government and sanctions by the Trump administration, there are no signs of any progress towards a negotiated settlement.

In 1991, I mediated an end to a different African conflict with some striking similarities: the Eritrean war of independence, which raged for nearly three decades. Lessons from that precedent offer clues to a potential endgame in Cameroon.

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Statement on Cameroon

In recent days, press coverage misstating my position, and rumors, have circulated indicating I will be representing the Cameroonian separatists identifying themselves as an interim government of “Ambazonia” in their upcoming talks with Paul Biya’s government.

This is untrue. I do not represent Ambazonia in any way, and I will not be participating in the talks.

I do hope that the dialogue between the Biya administration and the Anglophone separatists leads to peace. The Swiss government’s mechanism for mediation is an excellent option, which I hope both sides will assent to.

Robert Mugabe's Presidency Was Doomed by Ideology

Robert Mugabe's Presidency Was Doomed by Ideology

Robert Mugabe, who died September 6, became internationally infamous during his 30-year tenure as Zimbabwe's president. Posthumous appraisals discuss his history as a fighter against white Rhodesia, but are focusing on his gutting of the country's economy and democratic institutions. Often unmentioned is the Marxist-Leninist ideological context in which his policies and politics were incubated.

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US-Africa Engagement Remains Strong (Response to Howard French)

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I am a longtime admirer of Howard French’s reporting from, and commentary about, Africa. Nevertheless, I must take issue with his op-ed of July 17, in which he describes US policy toward Africa as “absentee diplomacy.” His statement that since the end of the Cold War, “the US has become more and more disengaged from Africa” does not conform to reality. Each U.S. President since that time has created new, signature Africa programs of their own, with transformative results for African people.

In the immediate aftermath of the Cold War, George H.W. Bush’s administration was heavily engaged in conflict resolution in Africa. Between 1989 and 1993, the US played the principal role in negotiations, in which I participated, leading to the end of major long-running civil wars in Ethiopia, Angola, and Mozambique. 

President Bill Clinton signed into law the Africa Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), which today remains the major trade and investment vehicle linking Africa and the U.S.

President George W. Bush inaugurated several major programs in Africa. His PEPFAR program has saved tens of millions of African lives threatened by HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria. His establishment of the Millennium Challenge Corporation has resulted in major infrastructure improvements across Africa. President Bush also persuaded the World Bank to stop charging African countries interest when borrowing from their IDA soft loan window.

President Obama started two very innovative programs in Africa: “Power Africa,” designed to attract private investment to the continent’s woefully deficient electricity infrastructure; and his “Feed the Future” program, helping to modernize African agriculture in order to lower the continent’s very large food import bill, and end hunger among Africans.

President Obama also hosted a 2016 summit of African heads of state in Washington, where they were introduced to the leading CEOs of American industry. Significant networking took place at that meeting. Obama’s ground-breaking frank talk about ending corruption and bad governance was also highly significant. 

Despite the leak of President Trump’s insulting private remark about African countries, and despite his tendency to reverse President Obama’s policies in other areas, Trump's policy toward Africa has also been positive. President Trump has continued his predecessors' programs on the continent – the Obama programs remain in place and are funded.

President Trump should also be credited with a significant diplomatic achievement in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Unable to change the constitution so that he could run for a third term, President Joseph Kabila conveniently failed to hold the presidential elections scheduled for November 2016. President Trump sent UN Ambassador Nikki Haley to the Congo, where she was able to persuade all parties to hold an election in December of 2018. This election resulted in the first democratic transfer of power in the Congo since its independence in 1960.

In the economic arena, National Security Advisor John Bolton announced in December 2018 the establishment of President Trump’s “Prosper Africa” program, designed to attract and assist American companies looking to invest in Africa. The Trump administration correctly sees a growing private sector as Africa’s best path to economic growth and poverty reduction.

Among his personnel selections, President Trump’s appointment of Ambassador Tibor Nagy as Assistant Secretary of State for Africa could not have been better. Nagy is a 35-year veteran of the U.S. Foreign Service, with ambassadorships in Ethiopia and Guinea. His first year in office has been marked by a frank and fruitful dialogue with African leaders. 

All of the above is a far cry from the accusation of US disengagement from Africa.

An Update on Cameroon: Time for a Peace Process

An Update on Cameroon: Time for a Peace Process

(Read my October piece on Cameroon for background on the historical roots of the country's crisis.

There is no military solution to the conflict between Paul Biya's regime in Cameroon, and the Anglophone separatists at war with it since 2017. The overwhelming, brutal, and repressive response of Biya's security forces has resulted in countless killings, hundreds of thousands displaced, and a total denial of basic services in the Anglophone regions. 

Despite the dark state of affairs, Cameroon's situation is ripe for external mediation.

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The Roots of Sudan's Upheaval

The Roots of Sudan's Upheaval

For John Campbell’s “Africa in Transition” blog on the Council on Foreign Relations website, I authored a piece on the historical background of the Sudan posts and al-Bashir’s ouster. It is reproduced below.

While the Sudanese military expelled President Omar al-Bashir from office, the people of Sudan are ultimately responsible for toppling his regime, and the leaders of the protest movement have promised not to let up until civilian rule is secured. They well know that any persistence of military control represents a continuation of the Bashir regime, and in particular, the Arabic-speaking population’s monopoly of power. For three decades they have endured the suppression of civil society, labor unions, freedom of press and religion, and any real measure of democratic expression or development. The Sudanese people have enough experience with the security apparatus Bashir created to know that exchanging one general with another does not represent improvement.

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Sudan Crisis May Be Approaching a Climax

Sudan's major cities have been rocked by anti-government demonstrations for the past several months. This type of political protest has been rare in the Sudan since the government of President Omar Hassan al-Bashir took power in an “Islamic” military coup in August 1989. The Sudanese military has never hesitated to use lethal force against protesters – indeed, several hundred have been reported killed since the beginning of the 2019 movement.

These events reflect a substantial decline in living standards for a majority of Sudanese since the independence of South Sudan in 2011 – the South is the main source of oil. The northern Khartoum government saw oil revenue decline to only fourteen U.S. dollars per barrel transported from the south to Port Sudan on the Red Sea, via a Sudanese government-owned pipeline.

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Ambassador Michelle Gavin Is Unhappy with United States Policy Toward the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s Recent Presidential Election. I Disagree.

In the daily “Africa in Transition” blog, on February 6, 2019, Ambassador Michelle Gavin, a Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations Africa Program, harshly criticized the United States government’s policy toward the December 2018 presidential election in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. The title of the article summarizes Ambassador Gavin’s point of view quite succinctly:

“The Truth About United States’ Complicity in DRC’s Fraudulent Election”

The word “complicity” in my view, is both unfair and unjustified. Here is why.

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How Minority Rule Withered Cameroon's Prospects

How Minority Rule Withered Cameroon's Prospects

Among the many French and British African colonies which achieved independence in the early 1960s, Cameroon seemed destined for greatness.  A diverse reflection of peoples from across Africa, Cameroon has both Christians and Muslims, and French and English-speakers. The country enjoys substantial natural resources, as well as excellent agricultural potential. 

Sadly, greatness has eluded the Cameroonian people. The country's governance over the past six decades has been deficient in practically every respect. Weak democratic institutions are largely to blame; there is no doubt that Paul Biya will be the winner of the just-completed elections. Like every election in Cameroon since 1982, the 2018 polls were most certainly rigged.

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Will Mrs. Trump’s Trip to Africa Influence Relations?

Will Mrs. Trump’s Trip to Africa Influence Relations?

First Lady of the United States Melania Trump made a goodwill visit to Africa, October 1-7.  Her itinerary included the nations of Ghana, Malawi, Kenya and Egypt. The trip was planned in tandem with the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). 

Mrs. Trump emphasized support for African youth during her visit, continuing her “Be Best” initiative which she has been promoting in the United States. 

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First Lady Melania Trump’s Visit to Africa

First Lady Melania Trump’s Visit to Africa

First Lady Melania Trump’s trip to Ghana, Malawi, Kenya, and Egypt beginning October 1 is a welcome signal of the Trump administration’s interest in African development, and its relationship with security and prosperity in the United States.

Mrs. Trump’s expressed interest in the welfare of African children, in tandem with her “Be Best” initiative for American youth, is a wise approach, since people under 30 represent a majority of Africans. These African youth will make or break the success of its nations. 

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